Prediction Market Commission

Prediction market commission is the fee structure and affiliate payout model used by prediction market platforms, typically based on trading fees, net revenue share, or CPA per verified trader.

What it means in practice

Prediction market commission refers to how prediction market platforms structure both their platform fees and their affiliate program payouts. Unlike traditional sportsbooks that embed margin in odds, prediction markets typically charge explicit trading fees (usually 1-5% of winnings or trade volume) and share a portion of those fees with affiliates through RevShare or CPA models.

The commission model for prediction market affiliates differs from standard sportsbook or casino programs in several ways. First, prediction markets often use a turnover-based commission approach where affiliates earn a percentage of the trading volume their referred users generate. Second, because prediction markets allow users to both buy and sell positions, the concept of GGR is replaced by net trading fees collected. This creates a more predictable revenue base for RevShare calculations compared to sportsbook GGR, which fluctuates with event outcomes.

For operators launching prediction market affiliate programs, commission structures must account for the platform's fee model, market liquidity dynamics, and the regulatory landscape. CPA rates for prediction market affiliates are typically lower than sportsbook CPA because individual trader values vary widely, but RevShare models can produce strong long-term returns for affiliates who refer active traders in high-liquidity markets such as politics, crypto, and sports.

How Prediction Market Commission works across industries

See how prediction market commission is applied in the verticals Track360 supports, from qualification logic and payout structure to the operational context behind each model.

iGaming

Prediction Market Commission in iGaming affiliate programs

Prediction markets classified as gambling in certain jurisdictions follow iGaming commission structures. Operators may offer [hybrid commission](/glossary/hybrid-commission) deals combining a CPA per registered trader with ongoing RevShare on the platform's net fee revenue. Compliance with local gambling laws determines whether prediction market affiliates need the same disclosures as [iGaming affiliate programs](/glossary/igaming-affiliate-program).
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Sportsbook

Prediction Market Commission in Sportsbook

Some sportsbooks integrate prediction market-style event contracts alongside traditional sports betting. In these cases, affiliate commissions may blend sportsbook RevShare on traditional bets with fee-based RevShare on prediction market positions, requiring clear [commission tracking](/glossary/commission-tracking) that separates revenue streams.
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How Track360 handles this

Track360 supports flexible commission models that can accommodate prediction market fee-based RevShare, CPA per verified trader, and hybrid structures — enabling operators to run prediction market affiliate programs alongside traditional sportsbook or casino programs on a single platform.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about prediction market commission, how it works in affiliate programs, and where it shows up across Track360's supported verticals.

Prediction market affiliates typically earn a percentage of the trading fees generated by their referred users (RevShare on net fees) or a fixed CPA per verified trader. Some platforms offer hybrid deals combining both. Unlike sportsbooks where revenue fluctuates with event outcomes, prediction market fees are collected on every trade regardless of outcome.

Related Terms

General

Prediction Market

iGamingSportsbook
Read Definition

A market in which participants trade contracts whose payouts depend on the outcomes of future events such as elections, sports results, or economic indicators, structured as binary-outcome contracts and regulated as derivatives in some jurisdictions and as gambling in others.

GeneralRead More →
General

Prediction Market Affiliate

iGamingSportsbook
Read Definition

A prediction market affiliate promotes event-outcome trading platforms and earns commissions on referred users who trade contracts on political, economic, or sports events.

GeneralRead More →
Commission & Payouts

RevShare (Revenue Share)

iGamingForexProp Trading
Read Definition

RevShare is a commission model where an affiliate earns an ongoing percentage of the revenue generated by their referred customers, typically calculated on a monthly basis.

Commission & PayoutsRead More →
Commission & Payouts

CPA (Cost Per Acquisition)

iGamingForexProp Trading
Read Definition

CPA is a commission model where an affiliate earns a fixed payment for each qualifying action, such as a deposit, registration, or purchase, that a referred user completes.

Commission & PayoutsRead More →
Commission & Payouts

Turnover-Based Commission

SportsbookiGaming
Read Definition

Turnover-based commission is a payout model where affiliates earn a percentage of the total amount wagered (handle) by their referred players, rather than a share of the operator's net revenue.

Commission & PayoutsRead More →
Commission & Payouts

Hybrid Commission

iGamingForexProp Trading
Read Definition

Hybrid commission combines two payout models, most commonly CPA and RevShare, in a single affiliate deal so operators can reward both conversion volume and long-term customer value.

Commission & PayoutsRead More →
Commission & Payouts

Commission Tracking

iGamingForexProp Trading
Read Definition

The end-to-end recording and reporting of affiliate commission states, from initial accrual through pending, approved, held, and paid stages, with reconciliation against underlying conversion and revenue data.

Commission & PayoutsRead More →
iGaming

GGR (Gross Gaming Revenue)

iGaming
Read Definition

GGR is the total amount wagered by players minus the total amount paid out as winnings. It represents the raw revenue an iGaming operator earns from player activity before any deductions for bonuses, taxes, or operational costs.

iGamingRead More →
From the Blog

Related Articles

Further reading on prediction market commission and related affiliate program topics.

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Dec 9, 2025

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